NBA summer leagues shed more light on the draft
Basketball Betting Lines
07/16/2010 -
New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - This year's rookie crop got its first taste of
the NBA in the recently completed Orlando Summer League and the one in Las
Vegas which concludes on Sunday. Though it's not the competition the player
will see in the regular season, you can still get a good feel of the skill and
talent level in this setting.
In watching these games, it wasn't difficult to come away with some of the
steals and blunders of the draft. Here's some of the talent that stood out to
me in good and bad ways:
WASHINGTON WIZARDS: John Wall exhibited the talent that earned him the first
overall pick, but the point guard will have to cut down on the high turnover
totals that plagued him in college along with working on his perimeter game.
PHILADELPHIA 76ERS: Evan Turner, by his own admission, struggled pretty badly
in Orlando. He was used to controlling the ball at Ohio State and didn't
seem comfortable playing off the ball with Jrue Holliday running the offense.
Holliday, by the way, looks like he's really ready to make a real impact this
season.
NEW JERSEY NETS: Power forward Derrick Favors looked like the project he was
labeled before the draft. He needs a lot of work on his post-up game and mid-
range jumper. I think DeMarcus Cousins would've been a better choice at this
spot. New Jersey's second pick of the first round, Damion James, was very
impressive and looks like he's ready to make more of an impact than Favors in
his first season.
MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES: Wesley Johnson had problems creating his own shot off
the dribble, which is something you definitely don't want to see from the
fourth overall pick in the draft. I have a strong feeling the T-wolves will
regret this selection.
SACRAMENTO KINGS: Sacramento has to be thrilled with the play of Cousins, its
first-round pick. He scored inside and out, rebounded and passed the ball
extremely well while showing a really good feel for the game. The former
Kentucky center could turn out to be the second-best player in the draft.
DETROIT PISTONS: Greg Monroe did not look comfortable working in the low post.
He appears to have a small forward's game in a power forward's body.
UTAH JAZZ: A lot of people questioned Utah's selection of Gordon Hayward with
the ninth overall pick, and his play in Orlando showed why. He struggled to
get his shot off and his lack of foot speed hurt him on defense. I thought
Paul George would have been a much better choice than Hayward.
INDIANA PACERS: Speaking of George, he was clearly one of the standout players
in the summer league. His athleticism, size and length will be assets along
with his excellent basketball skills. George was selected 10th overall, but
looks like he should have gone a bit higher. And speaking of going
higher, Indiana's second-round pick (40th overall), Lance Stephenson, looks
like he should have gone much earlier in the draft. Character questions scared
off a lot of teams, but there doesn't seem to be much doubt about his skill
set.
LOS ANGELES LAKERS: The defending champs didn't select until 43rd and 58th
picks overall, but it looks like they came away with some NBA talent in small
forward Devin Ebanks and power forward Derrick Caracter. Ebanks showed good
play on both ends of the floor, while Caracter's play had me wondering how
this kid lasted until the third-to-last pick in the draft. He can score with
either hand around the basket, has a nice mid-range touch and showed the
ability to pass the ball out of the post, which is helpful in the Lakers'
triangle offense.
BOSTON CELTICS: Luke Harangody was one of the standouts in summer league play
and looks like one of the draft's big steals after being taken 52nd overall.
The Notre Dame power forward showed the willingness to bang inside and the
ability to step outside and hit 3-pointers.
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Super Bowl 2009 Betting propositions
Underdog bettors love the Super Bowl and, history suggests, the underdogs love them back. And the big dogs bite harder.
Even so, there is a warning in store for Super Bowl gamblers who must love dogs: The Arizona Cardinals Super Bowl betting lines might not be enough of a Cinderella to make it worth your while.
Although the Cardinals were widely panned as one of the worst division winners and least playoff-worthy teams in recent memory, their trip to Super Bowl XLIII Jan. 31 in Tampa against the Pittsburgh Steelers Super Bowl betting lines comes with a little more respect from the oddsmakers than you might imagine. They are a 7-point underdog at most sports books.
If you count yourself among those who covet the big dog in the big game, this isn’t exactly great news. You should have been hoping for more points. This is because the facts show that the bigger the dog, the better the bet in the Super Bowl.
Case in point: Over the past 13 seasons, double-figure underdogs in the Super Bowl are 4-0-1 ATS and have won the past three outright. In fact, the last double-digit chalk to do the deed for bettors was the 1995 San Francisco 49ers, who managed to beat the astounding 19-point spot afforded backers of the San Diego Chargers in the 49-26 romp in Super Bowl XXIX.
By contrast, 7-point favorites are 2-1-1 ATS in the same span, the last such contest resulting a cover grinded out by the Colts in their 29-17 win over the Bears two seasons ago in Super Bowl XLI.
In 2004, the Patriots failed to cover the number in their 32-29 triumph over the Carolina Panthers in Super Bowl props while the Rams and Titans gave everyone a refund in 2000 after the Rams posted a 23-16 win as a seven-point favorite.
So while Arizona’s run has included impressive upsets as a 10-point road underdog to the Carolina Panthers and Sunday’s 32-25 win in the NFC championship game to the 4-point favored Philadelphia Eagles, their long-shot story lacks a bit of the David vs. Goliath storyline of past Super Bowl underdogs.
While the seven-point spread represents a significant gap in the perception of strength between the two teams, it is far from monumental. For example, last season the Giants were the wild-card afterthought turned road-warrior buzzsaw, with stunning wins over the Buccaneers, Cowboys and Packers to earn their place in the Super Bowl.
There, they played spoiler to New England’s bid to become the first 19-0 team in NFL history and cemented their place in sports betting lore with a 17-14 win as a 12.5-point underdog.
In other words, the Cardinals appear to have their work cut out for them as a mid-range underdog. But in homage to the spread beaters who have come before them, here is a brief look back at recent colossal upsets in the Super Bowl:
SB XLII -- 2008 -- New York Giants 17, New England Patriots 14 (Giants +12.5) – Eli Manning’s 13-yard touchdown pass to Plaxico Burress in the final minute clinched the historic upset for the Giants, who used a masterful defensive plan to slow down Tom Brady and the previously undefeated New England Patriots.
XXXVI -- 2002 -- Patriots 20, Rams 17 (Patriots +14) – This was the coming out party for the aforementioned Brady, who went from obscure sixth-round draft pick to Super Bowl hero in one fell swoop. He led the game-winning drive in the final minute – eschewing analyst John Madden’s advice to take a knee and play for overtime – leading to Adam Vinatieri’s memorable 48-yard field goal that split the uprights as time expired.
XXXII 1998 Broncos 31, Packers 24 (Denver +12) – The first of John Elway’s two consecutive Super Bowl titles to put an end to his Hall of Fame career was an upset for the ages. The Broncos used the determination of Elway and a 157-yard, three-touchdown performance from Terrell Davis to turn back Brett Favre and the heavily favored Packers.
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