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Tough week for Yanks ends with a win and major loss

Baseball Betting Lines

07/19/2010 - New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Yankees organization suffered some big losses off the field last week with the passing of principal owner George Steinbrenner and long-time public address announcer Bob Sheppard, but it was the loss of a pitcher on the field that could have the biggest impact on the AL East race.

All-Star Andy Pettitte, who's been the team's second best pitcher this season to ace CC Sabathia, left Sunday's 9-5 win over the Rays in the third inning with a left groin strain, and is expected to miss four to five weeks. Right- hander Sergio Mitre, who has been on the disabled list since June 15 and has not pitched since June 4, will start in Pettitte's place against the Royals on Saturday. Mitre (0-1, 2.88 ERA) is a long reliever who made two emergency starts in May, once in place of Pettitte, and once in place of Javier Vazquez. On May 10 in Detroit, he allowed four runs in 4 1/3 innings in a 5-4 loss to the Tigers, and on May 16, he held the Twins to one run over five innings in a game the Yankees lost 6-3.

Yankees general manager Brian Cashman said there is no plan to seek pitching help outside the organization at this point. I'm wondering if he'll keep to that stance if Mitre pitches anywhere near his lifetime numbers (13-27, 5.39 ERA).

With Pettitte out, the pressure will be on A.J. Burnett to step up and start pitching like he did last season, when he was the Yankees' number two starter. Burnett's frustrations from his struggles peaked on Saturday, when he cut both of his palms slamming them into a clubhouse door between innings of his start against the Rays. Over his last eight outings, Burnett has been simply awful, going 1-6 with an 8.07 ERA. If the Yankees hope to stay atop the division during Pettitte's absence, they'll need Burnett to get back on track.

QUICK HITS

While the Bronx Bombers have to deal with a key loss to their rotation, their hated rival is expected to welcome back a big-time starter to theirs. Barring any unforeseen setback in the side session he throws Tuesday, Josh Beckett is scheduled to start Friday in Seattle for the Red Sox. Beckett has been out since May 18, when he slipped on a wet mound at Yankee Stadium and strained his back. I'm sure the Red Sox are thrilled at the thought of having their ace back, but keep in mind Beckett was pitching very poorly when he went to the disabled list. He managed to go only 1-1 with a whopping 7.29 ERA in eight starts and had three games in which he allowed seven earned runs or more.

Another American League division contender saw a starter go to the DL with the Angels placing lefty Scott Kazmir on the 15-day disabled list with fatigue in his throwing shoulder. I don't exactly consider this bad news for the Halos since Kazmir gave up 13 earned runs in his last outing and 30 over his last four starts spanning 19 2/3 innings.


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FOOTBALL BETTING : Crabtree's base deal: six years, $32 million

Football Betting

In the wake of the news that the 49ers have signed receiver Michael Crabtree after an extended holdout, there has been not a hint of the dollars to be paid to Crabtree.

And since this means that his agent hasn't leaked the numbers, it means that his agent feels no specific motivation to do so.

Possibly because his agent isn't all that thrilled to have his name on the deal.

So the numbers will come from sources other than Crabtree's agent. And we've gotten our mitts into them.

Per a league source, Crabtree has signed a six-year, $32 million contract. (The total includes guaranteed money, base salaries, and the one-time incentive based on achieving minimum playing time.)

The deal also includes $17 million in guaranteed money.

As reported elsewhere, the deal can void to five years based on performance triggers, wiping out a final year base salary of $4 million. But they won't be easily reached.

The source tells us that, in his first four seasons (including 2009), Crabtree must either qualify for two Pro Bowls, or he must qualify for one Pro Bowl in one year and he must participate in 80 percent of the offensive snaps in a separate year in which the team makes the playoffs.

In other words, if in 2010 he qualifies for the Pro Bowl and the team makes the playoffs and he participates in 80 percent of the snaps, he'll still need to make it to the Pro Bowl or achieve the 80-percent/playoffs in another season.

Since the chances of Crabtree making the Pro Bowl or participating in 80 percent of the offensive snaps this year is roughly zero percent, he'll have three years to get it done.

And it won't be easy. Frankly, he'll be hard pressed to make it to one Pro Bowl in three years with the likes of Larry Fitzgerald, Calvin Johnson, Anquan Boldin, Steve Smith, the other Steve Smith, Hakeem Nicks, DeSean Jackson, Johnny Knox, Percy Harvin, Greg Jennings, Roddy White, T.J. Houshmandzadeh in the same conference for sportsbook betting.

So, by all appearances, it's a six-year deal. And at $17 million in guaranteed money, the per-year guarantee is a tepid $2.83 million per year.

There's another problem with the deal -- it has no mid-tier incentive package. Instead, the additional $8 million that Crabtree can earn (pushing the max value to six years, $40 million) requires the kind of unrealistic, mega-star performances that no rookie is likely to ever achieve.

So while the contract paid to Packers defensive tackle B.J. Raji covers five years and pays $22.5 million, he has the ability (if he's a solid player) to make up the difference between his base deal and Crabtree's five-year, $28 million haul via the mid-tier incentive package in Raji's deal.

And unless Crabtree meets the performance thresholds necessary to void the sixth year, he'll be stuck under contract for another year at a base salary of only $4 million.

There's one other area of concern with the deal. Crabtree, per the source, received no option bonus. Instead, he has significant money tied to a fairly new device known as a "discretionary salary advance," which unlike an opition bonus is subject to forfeiture if Crabtree decides in a year or two that he wants to hold out for a better deal. (We're also told that the 49ers have included language that would make certain escalators subject to forfeiture, too.)

Meanwhile, the deal falls well short of the mark for which Crabtree and agent Eugene Parker were aiming -- the five-year, $38.25 million contract paid by the Raiders to receiver Darrius Heyward-Bey, the seventh overall pick in the draft.

Even if Crabtree successfully voids the final year, he'll make more than $2 million per year less on average than Heyward-Bey.

Thus, as we explained earlier in the day, this is a deal that Crabtree could have done in July, which would have given him a much better chance of making a contribution to the 49ers during his rookie year.

So while the final outcome can be described as win-win, the broader view suggests that it's really a lose-lose situation.

NFL Betting Lines

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