Line of Scrimmage: NFL GameChangers '10: Specialists
Football Betting Lines
07/20/2010 -
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Bill Belichick has achieved considerable
success during his 10-season stint as head coach of the New England Patriots,
but for those with the time or wherewithal to look at his resume' with a
magnifying glass, there is a tiny hole to be found.
Brace for it - Belichick has never employed a consistently outstanding punter.
Has this fact led to sleepless nights for the notoriously leaden Belichick?
Doubtful, though the fact that New England used a fifth-round pick on Michigan
punter Zoltan Mesko in this past April's draft offers a clue to just how
pleased the head man has been with that area of his team. The 6-5, 230-pound
Mesko was the first specialist taken in the Draft.
"He's a good player, a guy that's worked hard, been productive in his career
[at Michigan] and has obviously earned the respect of the people he's been
around," Belichick said of Mesko. "He's a big, good-looking kid."
Though the weather the Patriots face both at home and on the AFC East road
isn't going to do the team's punters any statistical favors, Belichick and New
England special teams coach Scott O'Brien were finished making excuses for the
team's deficient punting game. The Pats were last in the NFL in both gross
punting average (39.7) and net average (36.4) in 2009, and subsequently opted
not to tender veteran Chris Hanson a contract after three seasons with the
club.
Three seasons has been about the limit for New England punters, as Josh Miller
(2004-06), Ken Walter (2001-03, as well as a short stint in 2006), and Lee
Johnson (1999-2001) have all lasted roughly the same amount of time as did
Hanson.
If Mesko sticks for the duration of his recently-signed four-year deal, he
will be New England's longest-tenured punter since Rich Camarillo spent the
better part of the 80's (1981-87) with the team. Camarillo, incidentally, is
the only Patriots punter ever named to the Pro Bowl (1983).
Closing the recent revolving door is clearly a challenge that the former
Michigan co-captain embraces.
"If I go out there on the field and perform, the rest will take care of
itself," Mesko told reporters in the spring. "There's a lot of punters that
have a hard work ethic and a lot of talent so if you combine the two, that's
probably the best hybrid to have."
Mesko had one of the most intriguing stories among the '10 draft class, and
has already conquered long odds on his journey to the NFL. Born in Romania in
1986, Mesko survived the revolution that predated the fall of communism in
1989, then emigrated to the United States with his parents at the age of 12.
Eventually, the family landed in Twinsburg, Ohio outside of Cleveland. Soon
after, Mesko's powerful left leg was spotted during a kickball game, when he
broke a gymnasium light with a booming kick.
After starring at Twinsburg High School, Mesko became a fan favorite at
Michigan, eventually becoming the Wolverines' all-time punting leader. The
big-bodied Mesko also proved he was more than a punter, executing multiple
fakes and proving tougher to bring down than your average punter.
No doubt, it was Mesko's generous build that sealed the deal for Belichick,
who had never before drafted a punter.
"I imagine he probably does most things that all the other players on the team
do, as opposed to there are some kickers that really aren't at the same
athletic level as other players on the team," said Belichick. "I think he
would be a lot closer to that than a lot of other guys would be."
Below, as the eighth and final installment of our eight-part "GameChangers"
series, we look at five incoming punters or kickers who will enter their first
year in a new uniform as central figures in their team's 2010 development:
5. Jay Feely, K, Cardinals (free agent, from Jets) - Though his controversial
political musings seem to make as many headlines as his work on the field, the
journeyman Feely has quietly become one of the more reliable kickers in the
game. He's been at 83.3 percent or better on field goals for the last five
seasons, yet the Jets became the fourth team since 2004 (Falcons, Giants,
Dolphins) to deem him expendable after last season. The Cardinals snapped the
former Saturday Night Live punchline up for $3.5 million over two years, after
the once-reliable Neil Rackers (now with the Texans) had begun to show
diminishing returns in big situations. Feely has likewise experienced some
trouble in big spots - he missed field goals of 44 and 52 yards indoors
against the Colts in last year's AFC Championship - but also had a stretch of
24 consecutive made field goals in 2009 and is a slight upgrade over Rackers.
4. Matt Dodge, P, Giants (rookie, East Carolina) - Last year's Giants punter,
Jeff Feagles, made his NFL debut on Sept. 4, 1988. This year's Giants punter,
the 6-1, 224-pound Dodge, made his debut as a human on May 30, 1987. The
movement from old guy to young guy isn't the only transition the Giants
punting game will make this season, as Dodge has a bigger leg but less
directional acumen than did Feagles, who spent seven years with Big Blue
before retiring in April. The first time Dodge over-hits a pooch-punt for a
touchback, the New Meadowlands Stadium faithful are sure to groan. But the
Giants are thus far happy with their decision to select Dodge in the seventh
round, as they cut Jy Bond, the only other punter on the roster, on June 21st.
If Dodge can approach the 45.8 average he had as a senior at East Carolina -
Feagles averaged 41.2 as a Giant - the quality of the decision will be
confirmed.
3. Josh Bidwell, P, Redskins (free agent, from Buccaneers) - The Redskins'
struggles to find a reliable punter have been even more pointed than those of
the Patriots, as Washington has recently thrown a bunch of guys at the wall
(Hunter Smith, Derrick Frost, Ryan Plackemeier, Durant Books, Glenn Pakulak,
Andy Groom) who haven't stuck. The former Pro Bowler Bidwell, who averaged 44
yards per kick in five seasons with Tampa Bay, would seem to possess the
ability to close that loop. But Skins fans are necessarily skeptical, as the
same was said of Smith last season and Bidwell comes off a hip injury that
forced him to miss all of 2009. Smith averaged just 41.3 yards per kick last
year (his lowest figure since 2002) and was slowed by a groin injury. That
gave new Washington GM Bruce Allen an opening to ink Bidwell, with whom he had
a history in Tampa Bay, to a two-year, $2.4 million contract.
2. Zoltan Mesko, P, Patriots (rookie, Michigan) - Upon his selection, Mesko
spoke in glowing terms about fellow Michigan alumnus Tom Brady, the man who
hopes to keep Mesko firmly planted on the sideline this year. Ironically, the
face of the franchise was selected one round later in the 2000 Draft than
Mesko was taken this year. In any case, the man known to his Wolverine
brethren (curiously) as "The Space Emperor of Space" definitely knows how to
align himself with the power by exalting Brady, and has already set about
winning over the rest of the locker room. "It takes a lot to earn the respect
of your teammates," Mesko said. "And right now, here with the Patriots, I'm
starting off from block number zero. So I've got to prove myself all over
again, get in the weight room, get on the practice field and ultimately make
plays on the game field."
1. Shayne Graham, K, Ravens (free agent, from Bengals) - In the "what have you
done for me lately?" world of NFL kickers, it stands to reason that the
enduring image most fans have of Graham is his two huge missed field goals in
Cincinnati's playoff loss to the Jets this past January. Those misses were a
major factor in the Bengals' decision not to actively attempt to re-sign
Graham, but the Ravens had seen enough of the fourth most-accurate kicker in
NFL history, in seven years worth of AFC North battles, to know that he was a
better option than what they had. Baltimore paid the price for not re-signing
longtime stalwart Matt Stover last year, as Steve Hauschka and Billy Cundiff
combined to make just 21-of-30 (70 percent) field goals, with several key
misses between them. Officially, Graham will be competing with Cundiff for
Ravens kicking duties in 2010, but should the former display that the demons
of the '09 playoffs have been exorcised, the latter is almost certain to be
looking for a job on the open market.
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Winnipeg, MB (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Long-time NHL forward Mike Keane won't return
to the Manitoba Moose for the 2010-11 season.
Manitoba, the American Hockey League affiliate of the Vancouver Canucks,
announced it won't renew the 43-year-
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from Chavez Rav
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Elite 8 NCAA Tournament Betting at online sportsbook MySportsbook.com
In what should be an outstanding Saturday of March Madness betting action, the top four teams in the South and West Regions square off in what should be extremely close match-ups. Three of the four teams are coming off extremely close games on Thursday evening, only UCLA won semi comfortably over Pitt 64-55.
Ohio State is coming off their second game in a row where in all reality they should have lost. Of course that doesn’t matter now since the name of the game is “survive and advance” but as the tournament continues, they can’t afford to keep getting down to their opponents early. Kansas also avoided a scare by holding off a scrappy Southern Illinois squad. In the third thrilling game of the evening Memphis pulled off the minor upset (+3.5) despite being the higher seed to Texas A&M.
Although the spreads are fairly small for Saturday’s games, MySportsbook.com continue to bet against the underdogs. Despite OSU’s two scares, 86% of the “betting public” feels the Buckeyes (-1.5) have what it takes to make the Final Four. In fact, so much of the early money is on OSU that the line has already moved from -1 to -1.5. In the second game of the doubleheader, Kansas and their high-powered offense are 2 point favorites as they take on UCLA and their effective defense. About 63% of the early money thus far is once again backing the favorites. If those percentages stay that high, don’t be surprised if this line moves as well. If you like Kansas (-2) you might want to jump on it early.
Memphis vs. Ohio State
Both squads were involved in thrillers on Thursday evening and should come out fired up. OSU can ill afford to get behind early like they did versus their previous two opponents (Xavier, Tennessee). Greg Oden needs to stay out of foul trouble; the Buckeyes are a completely different team when he is on the court. Memphis definitely has the athleticism and length to match-up with OSU. Of Memphis’ five leading minute earners, the shortest of the bunch is 6’5”. Each team has a very effective defense; Memphis surrenders 62.3 PPG whereas the Buckeyes give up only 61 PPG. With those type of numbers, it isn’t surprising that Memphis covered the UNDER almost 69% of the time this season. As a favorite, OSU has covered the UNDER almost 66% of the time over the last three seasons. The major concern for Memphis which is magnifies this time of the year is their brutal foul shooting (62%). This season, OSU is 17-11 ATS versus teams with a winning record and 7-2 ATS in all tournament games. Memphis has been an extremely reliable cover in tournament play in recent years with a 23-8 ATS record over the last three seasons.
UCLA vs. Kansas
In the second game of Saturday’s doubleheader, UCLA will play in a role which they are very unfamiliar with that of the underdog. Only twice this season have they been getting points from the handicappers and both times they covered. Over the last three seasons UCLA is a reliable 23-7 ATS in this unfamiliar role. UCLA has not fared well against Big 12 opponents recently going 1-7 ATS since 1997. Giving up only 59.6 PPG, UCLA will definitely look to do what they do best: keep this game as low scoring as possible. Their defense has been especially tough during the tournament. UCLA opponents have been able to muster up only 48.7 PPG while shooting a combined 34.5% from the field. UCLA definitely has a challenge at hand with a Kansas team that is capable of putting points on the board in bunches. As a team, they average 79 PPG and shoot an impressive 49.6% from the field and 39.4% from beyond the arc. During the tournament Kansas has been “lights out” from the field having shot 56.2%.
With Friday -105 juice on Basketball betting, MySportsbook.com is the place to bet on all of the “March Madness” action. Don’t forget to monitor who the public is backing at MySportsbook.com’s “Betting Trends”. By doing so, you have the best chance of predicting a possible line change, thus getting the best value for your wager.
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